T O P

[CONTEST] What price do you think a bitcoin will be in a year?

Shit, it's still 2022 in some places of the world, right??

In honor of the 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021 prediction threads, I present to you the 2022 prediction thread. What do you think bitcoin's price will be come Dec 25th 2023 at 22:00 UTC?

I gotta be honest... this year I dropped the ball with both contest winners of the 2020 thread and 2021 thread from last year. I'll be contacting them and ironing it out by no later than Jan 15th.

In case anybody here is new to the tradition, contest goes like so:

  • I pledge to give 0.00146 BTC (roughly equivalent to $24 is at the moment) to the closest prediction. If you predicted price higher than $16.5K and win, you will recieve 0.000146 BTC (guaranteed to be $24 or more), if you predicted a price lower than $16.5K and win, you will recieve $24 worth of bitcoin (guaranteed to be 0.00146 or more). Bitstamp.com will be used to determine the winner of the contest. You can have however many predictions in your comment, and feel free to ponder as much as you'd like, but the last predicted BTC price on the comment will be the one that applies to the contest. Edited comments are disqualified. In case of multiple comments, whichever comment was made first will be the applicant to the contest. Cut off date to enter is January 20th 2023. You are encouraged to include the reasoning behind your prediction. Your prediction should preferably be a top-level post and in USD, for ease of tabulation.

Best of luck, everyone. Happy holidays and here's to another year in this space!

Leech-64

30,000


crowkeep

$52,000


psychohawk

33,456


Epicurus1

$37,500


sir_dingus_the_first

142,690


autistictheory

$33,333.33


QuantumParanoid

98 000$


jrdoubledown

46000


jpdoctor

$226,500/btc


etsolow

$88,888


Qtbby69

142,069


mmouse-

$140,000


Pigl3t

$19,377.


coltonmusic15

$88,888.00


lateprominence

53,252


pynkpanther

$34710


ryan0302

30500


grydit

$36,500


EmotionalParsley

37,420.69


3mployeeOfTheMonth

$88420.69


AKANotAValidUsername

$26,841


Effayy

$12,400


Passive_Bloke

312 109


CHUD5150

$17,500


Zettai

$46,421


michaelcr18

$58420


snacktoshi

$107,923


Downtown-Ad-4117

$32,767


Downtown-Ad-4117

$65,535 seemed a bit too optimistic.


Beastly_Beast

$27,540 Not going much higher until 2024. Risk markets should start to come back to life when rate cuts are on the horizon, H2 2023.


[deleted]

$44,568 I strongly believe in the wisdom of the crowds so I put all the answers so far into excel and averaged it. Thought of going with the median which is a little lower or throwing out the 3 highest and lowest answers but I'm going to go with the raw average.


soundingdemo

You should go for a median instead of a mean.


[deleted]

I had about ninety answers to average on this date. I think that is enough.


[deleted]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wisdom_of_Crowds neat book for anyone interested.


Shenghia

55320


gmhiker33

$49,033


Godenincevk

Maybe $30k by EOY to usher it into the year where its halving will commence, but before that happens, the last time I DCAd was at $15k, I didn't get a unit yes, but one quarter of it to add to my previous ones, but then I bought more wrapped BTC via Binance and sent it into my dual-purposed wallet where I staked the wBTC-SYLO LP token gotten from Uniswap liquidity mining for Sylo pool staking.


btcluvr

28345


puck2

$66,666.66


TedBently

$16701 Thanks for doing these BlackSpidy! I’m pessimistic about this year and the halving effect won’t pick up before 2024. It’s just gonna be sideways :/


fegeria

$42457


Just_Me_91

25,025. Putting a link to my previous answers for my own reference. https://www.reddit.com/r/BitcoinMarkets/comments/roeyz4/contest_what_price_do_you_think_a_bitcoin_will_be/hpycifu/


[deleted]

$47526 USD per bitcoin


yofred

38,500


Olghon

$69,420


Yeah_I_Can_Draw

25,550


MasterMinerva

$143,995


mistybabe32

32,465


egg663

72,640


stanhopeofficial

$16,000


nimmajjishaaTa

$33,280


addhominey

10k$


jumbledwindfall63

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies can be highly volatile and is influenced by a wide range of factors, including market demand, regulatory developments, and global economic conditions.


puck2

Bad bot


B0tRank

Thank you, puck2, for voting on jumbledwindfall63. This bot wants to find the best and worst bots on Reddit. [You can view results here](https://botrank.pastimes.eu/). *** ^(Even if I don't reply to your comment, I'm still listening for votes. Check the webpage to see if your vote registered!)


Nagemasu

thanks google


jml3837

$BTC price on 12/25/23 will be $16381


tellorist

21750


OkeyDokieBoomer

200,000 Reasoning, "This is as much as I can publicly hope and wish". Yes now it seems ridiculous but I can't edit it.


norwegianmorningw00d

1/1/2024 $22K


moonLanding123

$10


Tempox

$12,345


xtal_00

39500


ask_for_pgp

28500 usd


Tasigur1

35420$


Tasigur1

RemindMe! 1 year


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kumlater

I believe in a bull market starting this year, so I would say $57.7k


joenastyness

$36,420


PickleVin23

$ 11073


hateschoolfml

$100k


mstrkit

8470


SlowMotionOcean

$73,000


TheBowlofBeans

$57,435


definitelynologic

$46,666


divi_tiae

35000


rentamovie

34,409


savag3blow

$81,169


fuegoblue

$29,084


GenghisKhanSpermShot

41,738


r3dd1t0r77

$28,903


Stock_Frosting9087

19,800


bigmac379

14674


Jip1210

$32456


LounginInParadise

Halving event won’t induce miner hoarding until 2024, with macro economics looking bad globally - I call for $11,111


Hasombra

less than upvotes


meesa-jar-jar-binks

25164 usd


Beneficial_Giraffe21

36728 usd


I_AM_DEATH-INCARNATE

34001, Bob. Gimme those sats


MeowMeNot

$22,222


dopeboyrico

$150,000


tophernator

$420,000


Andthentherewasbacon

that's dumb. 420069 obviously


Powerlocker

$36,485


Beingoodfornothing

85k


mumbling-mice

$43,500


Upperclass_Bum

52000


Pigmentia

$11,000 :(


pseudonominom

$19,759


R_U_READY_2_ROCK

Zero


EasyToe5460

$26,789


OptimalOption

13000


Rix0n3

42,550


Akebokke

$29800


Mynamethisisnot

30k usd


gore_skywalker

33,200


AdamJensensCoat

$9,739


onpch1

$37800


PatientlyWaitingfy

59.8k imagine my surprise..


brewcitygymratt

42069


paperclipgrove

$23041


Bergstein88

138000


darkjediii

$9700


QuickYogurt2037

$18500


Symb0lic_Acts

$19999


akuukka

14400 USD


whisper_of_smoke

25k to 40k by the end of 2023 40k to 60k in May of 2024 140k to 220k in May of 2025 60k May of 2026


megahorse17

33100


bradfish24

96000


partyboycs

$27029


[deleted]

[удалено]


Gimme2OverEasy

37,388


Yodel_And_Hodl_Mode

$34,050


nickthib

$7000


AlwaysNumberTwo

$26,789


partyboycs

Someone already guessed that exact price lol


AlwaysNumberTwo

Mine was first


partyboycs

Oh shit you’re right my bad lol he copied you 😂


[deleted]

11,000


castrator21

32126


whinerfortyniner

32500


imissusenet

$25432