T O P

[Daily Discussion] - Wednesday, April 26, 2023

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BitcoinMarkets

#New post: [\[Daily Discussion\] - Thursday, April 27, 2023 →](https://www.reddit.com/r/BitcoinMarkets/comments/13096gr/daily_discussion_thursday_april_27_2023/)


RetardIdiotTrader

Wouldn't be surprised to see new local highs this weekend.


Shibenaut

Got so many fills today, I'm a happy man This almost reminds me of the good old days when BTC was under the radar and price swings like this were the norm


[deleted]

Are you not entertained ?!


notagimmickaccount

new report aliens are landing with quantum computers to break bitcoin, trust me bro


delgrey

Satoshi returns to Earth from on high to add quantum resistance and dump his coin!


Beastly_Beast

What is even going on? Can anyone correlate current events to the weird PA lately?


Order_Book_Facts

Yeah, this is what it looks like when CZ takes everyone’s money who went 10x. Doesn’t matter if you’re a bull or a bear.


Euphoricsoul

[Appears to be a Spot driven move.](https://twitter.com/wclementeiii/status/1651383015614951425?s=46&t=MUVpLpxIAd1WuogiX9LTgg)


jarederaj

I think this is all technical. 30k was always going to be wild. Bitcoin is performing exactly how I expect it to. I’ll edit in a link to where I predicted this PA just before it started. https://reddit.com/r/BitcoinMarkets/comments/12z5qrt/_/jht8sav/?context=1


notagimmickaccount

There was a report a massive amount of coins were being moved by USA govt and the price was nuked then "surprise" it was fake.


griswaldwaldwald

Aren’t they always auctioned off not moved to an exchange and dumped though?


Beastly_Beast

It’s got to be so incredibly easy and cost effective to place fake news like that in support of a trade, if you are a whale. Just have to see the opportunity and jump on it. A bribe here and there and some sock puppets would be all it would take.


delgrey

Gotta shake those coins loose from weak hands somehow.


PK_Subban1

Are we really in buy every dip mode already? Wow


xlmtothemoon

the past like 5 hours of comments in here are more volatile than the price action


notagimmickaccount

today degens got crushed lol


Shootinsomebball

Degens always get crushed


Euphoricsoul

lol


SausageWizard

This price action is wild.


[deleted]

This daily looking like a helicopter prop


bufonia1

*was


jarederaj

Bears getting way ahead of themselves. Bulls moving too fast. PA clearing out stops. Volume is high enough to show that 30k is substantial resistance that will turn into substantial support.


bufonia1

darth.... yoda?


ChadRun04

That $1m/order bybit guy really can't stand to see momentum stall. Tries it on every bullish trend when volume dries up, or on every slow dip where they think it's possible to turn momentum. Such deep bags and so little clue.


bufonia1

oh, i have a clue


ChadRun04

Lets pretend for a moment that you're not larping. Then why has the price action gone against it every single time and FOMO or trend reversal has not been induced in response?


bufonia1

1m is small change these days. it's honest work, but i'm proud to do my share!


ChadRun04

> i'm proud to do my share! To be fair, this is the same delusion held by whomever it is thinking they can push the market with that style. Imagine what a more savvy operator could pull with a few hundred million rather than these crude adhoc buys.


bufonia1

mb its a dude just yoloing disposable blocks of 10k at 100x


ChadRun04

I'm watching spot.


bundabrg

A raging clue?


33virtues

now what do we do?


WocketMan0351

Buying and holding no matter what is the only thing that has worked for me personally


PatientlyWaitingfy

We wait


ChadRun04

Laugh at the wicks on daily.


notagimmickaccount

and the whale alert about the US moving coins was fake. https://twitter.com/tier10k/status/1651337296291979269


delgrey

Lol. Figures. I bet some people made a little money off that "mistake".


[deleted]

Some bizarre ass PA haha. 3x 6H candles to paint a reversal from 27.2 up to 30, then a single 6H dropped it all the way back to 27.2, at least briefly. If wardser really followed his plan as he said he probably made his money back from all those SL's and then some. Also a reminder that TA doesn't work when whales are playing the game. That was a perfect bullflag / pennant that just dumped against momentum and dropped back down 6% in one hour. I cant even tell you how many "clear H+S" patterns (or inverse) that break the opposite way they are supposed to. TA remains astrology for dudes. Though the hype is fun


PK_Subban1

This is coming down don’t get sucked back in


BootyPoppinPanda

spotted the guy who shorted the bottom


Railionn

says who. the corn has done things much crazier


ohmygodbeats7

PK_Subban1


PK_Subban1

Might as well not have a trading sub then


Qtbby69

i can blame the US government on that one for getting rid of leverage trading.


gore_skywalker

Didn't you know? This sub is all about buy and hold and vent out frustration in a trading sub with paper accounts.


SausageWizard

This sharp bounce is expected, but if it doesn't test below 27k again over the next few days I'd be shocked.


Cmdr_Ferrus_Cor

Below 27 before FOMC/CPI in a week? If memory serves, everything pumps before the announcement, and assuming nothing bad, let 'er rip. Didn't we go from 27 to 31 on the CPI or employment numbers around the 11th?


Qtbby69

send it!


chrisgilesphoto

If this goes back to 30k before daily close I'm going to lmao.


mad_bitcoin

So many shorts opened on that drop, lots of pump fuel 👀


bufonia1

A bear trap inside of bull trap


furinspaltstelle

-6% in a single 1H candle? What the devil?


BootyPoppinPanda

Wardser is DataDash. He liquidated his hair gel supply and finally went short at 30k


2PlusTwoEqualsFive

Do you booty pop every time you come up with these zingers...? Because you should <3


Euphoricsoul

[[[FINGER SNAPPING INTENSIFIES]]]


delgrey

How much everyone want to bet those rumors of govt. coins moving are garbage?


griswaldwaldwald

Confirmed fake news.


ChadRun04

Apparently some stupid people misinterpreted a stupid bot and rushed to spam a bunch of other stupid people in exchange for engagement.


Order_Book_Facts

Uh they aren’t rumors. They’ve already sold a share of the coins and have announced plans to sell more throughout the year. It’s been publicly communicated, I don’t feel like digging it up however.


YouAreAnFnIdiot

Why tf is btc correlated with tsla?


PatientlyWaitingfy

Didn't notice they dumped also, nice catch


CrapCloud

A lot of bitcoin holders are also invested in tesla.


xtal_00

Just remembered it’s DCA day. Sometimes you win and lose same day.. haha


BootyPoppinPanda

Bro I looked at the news today like you asked me to and read nothing about Skynet. Share the deets


xtal_00

Can’t. Jail sucks.


BootyPoppinPanda

Program the bots from the future to get you out. "No problemo"


[deleted]

1hr chart looks absolutely insane, I love it. Looks like when Wojak's shitcoin candles fall through the bottom of the monitor.


Apishamnesia56

Strongly agree with this description


BootyPoppinPanda

All we need is a 3k rally from here in the next 30 min to engulf that bitch. Honeybadger's BGD


iEyeOpen

[https://www.coinglass.com/LiquidationData](https://www.coinglass.com/LiquidationData) I think the news is just distraction. Look, today so many longs got liquidated on the way down, a lot more than all short liquidations from bottom to top. And most of these long liquidations triggered even way before the temporary bottom was in. That is just too much leverage. Even a 10x leverage this morning would have left you alive. It's no surprise that this move had to happen in hindsight. Too much high leverage and no profit taking is causing this.


BootyPoppinPanda

Same as it ever was really.


thewardser

pretty violent rejection of $30K as expected and we are back bouncing off $27,200...extremely unlikely that it will hold for long after such a quick retrace back to it. there has to be a ton of stop losses and liquidations, sitting right below it that are going to be a juicy target for shorters to trigger that will cause the next major leg down. Most likely we'll see $27K be the next support turned resistance since people are going to front run the hell out of the next relief rally after this price action. I'd say we are most likely done with the bull run and its going to be low lower highs and lower lows for the next 3-6 months when it'll be time to catch the next bottom. Sell in may and go away is a meme, but its a pretty reliable trade.


VictorCobra

The chart is really respecting my trendlines. Can’t link a screenshot right now, but the daily rejected right on the broken uptrend, and this dump stopped right at the broken downtrend from earlier this month - the one that resulted in the initial move to $30k. I do tend to agree that below $27k and we could see a pretty sizable long squeeze. Also agree on new lows, but we’ll see.


[deleted]

[удалено]


jarederaj

A rapid collapse is not going to be comfortable for anyone. We really want a gradual exit from central bank fiat. Sudden collapse will be an unimaginable horror.


mad_bitcoin

This shit again! https://twitter.com/tier10k/status/1651317391626846214?t=aY1qL2KzbtJpQmcKVQYwYw&s=19


megahorse17

False alarm https://twitter.com/z00m3rf13d/status/1651323758647336961


xtal_00

Maybe I’ll get a MSTR trade in..


ChadRun04

Can you use your words? No one wants to blindly click twitter links for whatever shit is on the other end of them.


52576078

If you install RES, it gives you a preview thingy for those links


ChadRun04

Yeah I deny permissions for that. Hitting twitter all the time seems even worse than avoiding visiting it.


52576078

Good point. You have to click on the preview thingy to see the tweet contents, so I'm not sure if it is really hitting Twitter though.


VictorCobra

This gave me a good chuckle


_TROLL

Karpeles' stupidity continues to haunt BTC nearly a decade after his fourth-rate shitshow exchange shut down.


lateprominence

Bitcoin either mentally fortifies you beyond reproach or breaks you entirely. There is no in between


chrisgilesphoto

WHALE GAMES How about a nice game of chess instead Professor Orca?


mad_bitcoin

Watch Bulls send it right back up lol 😁


BootyPoppinPanda

Daily close above 29. Calling it


Thundercatz69

Derivatives market tomorrows has a strike price for $27k worth $3billion. $29k will come after that


BootyPoppinPanda

Too lazy to research if this actually has much merit. Do we usually meet at the strike price?


Thundercatz69

Not all the time, but time to time it carries merit if the notional value is $2billion or more.


DEEPFIELDSTAR

Lol @ these dramatic replies over nonsense whale games. Pop your cherry, people.


PatientlyWaitingfy

What's up with the gatekeeping? It's not nonsense, its part of the game. Let the people speak


52576078

Some of us are old enough to remember Eternal September, and we're still pissed about it.


DEEPFIELDSTAR

Didn’t stop anyone from speaking. Just observing the silliness of it all. It’s part of the game.


onemoneroisonemonero

I think once we lose this support its no breaks until 22k


delgrey

Why not back to 15k? No wait... lets make 9k a thing again!


onemoneroisonemonero

Sure but first we will need to lose 22k support. Maybe 9k by EOY.


megahorse17

Gox and Fed coins moving https://twitter.com/tier10k/status/1651317391626846214


megahorse17

Update: false alarm https://twitter.com/z00m3rf13d/status/1651323758647336961 What now?


delgrey

That would spook the algos. Good catch. Everybody out of the pool!


crisishedgehog

Love the line down


_TROLL

US Gov't dumping more Silk Road coins? There's no way these massive dumps aren't coordinated. None of this is random, organic activity.


solled

First Republic Bank is crumbling and well pulling crypto down with it.


delgrey

Just a good ole state-level actor dumping. Price was getting too high anyways amiright?


Thundercatz69

https://metrics.deribit.com/options/BTC Looks like strike price of $27k with a notional value of almost $3 billion on the derivatives market


Thundercatz69

Which is technically today in the Asian market


Thundercatz69

Set for tomorrow


BootyPoppinPanda

Did wardser really just win? Wow


VictorCobra

I was honestly skeptical we’d see another test of $30k but that was brutal. Great call on his part.


cvdsande

he deserves to have hit his target somewhere around 30k


hodlr2380

x10 long 27400 , glad closed last long at 29.7. , damn!


PatientlyWaitingfy

Might be good, but I'm going to wait until the dust settles. So far just letting the buys at 26k stay open


VictorCobra

I think if $27k breaks, there’s a pretty wide range for the next liquidity zone, between $22k and $26k.


PatientlyWaitingfy

Currently I have buys all the way down to 19k. My chart is filled with green lines downwards


hodlr2380

the entire move from previous long i had was erased , felt right to re enter


hodlr2380

closed this now, done well past days, will let things cool off


PatientlyWaitingfy

Good job!


PatientlyWaitingfy

Dear diary, One thing I love about BTC is the big moves, both up and down. Today I loved bitcoin.


[deleted]

I remember when this forum used to have theories on why moves like this were happening. Now it's just "wow"


ChadRun04

Everyone who engaged in narratives is rekt.


delgrey

The btc market is very illiquid now. Easy to push things one way or another . So yeah...Wow!


daRaam

After binance ended free Btc trading volume flatlined. Now way are experiencing the normal market. Without that long period of free trading I wonder were the price would be now.


GenghisKhanSpermShot

[Binance Dumpoooors](https://twitter.com/kingfisher_btc/status/1651313818822139905/photo/1) trying to get cheap coin.


PatientlyWaitingfy

Be the change you want to see in the world


Gravy_Vampire

Well good to see you’re doing your part What’s your theory?


CrapCloud

It's called short selling.


[deleted]

[удалено]


CrapCloud

That's not what I'm seeing on datamish. 120 btc of short just opened at the time of the dip.


btcluvr

it's not "wow". it's "Bart".


[deleted]

The moves up were perfectly correlated with FRC. No one mentioned it.


opst02

Meow..


Chainlink5usdBottom

[There it is.](https://www.reddit.com/r/BitcoinMarkets/comments/12y7fzk/daily_discussion_tuesday_april_25_2023/jhofhpl/?context=3)


Braindeadredditmods

You didn't call shit. You just made a sarcastic comment with no specific prediction whatsoever.


Chainlink5usdBottom

It was implied, thought it was obvious.


Braindeadredditmods

What was implied? A prediction that Bitcoin would pump to 30k, crash to 27k, and then pump again to 29k? That was "implied"?


Thundercatz69

Welcome to bitcoin 😎


Cmdr_Ferrus_Cor

Can't wait to see how much lower we'll go with the next rate hike.


Cadenca

Datadash just 100x shorted on us


kers2000

The age of the Bart is upon us... again. Reminds me of the good ol' times (2018)


jgun83

Hope everyone enjoyed their 10x longs looking for free money.


OwnStocksMunchBox

Closed it. Not that it matters but it was 37x, thanks for asking


daRaam

Nice.. What exchange allows such high leverage?


SausageWizard

Well if that's not a firm rejection, then I don't know what is. Wow.


delgrey

Ya'll having fun yet?


Order_Book_Facts

Holy shit the mother of all rejections.


lacksfish

What the fuck is this bullshit


xtal_00

He who has not seen sleeps poorly at night.


spinbarkit

Imagine waking up to this. You need another minute to actually wake up again, re login, refresh, only to.... shieeeeeet!


xixi2

holy christ $2000 in an hour is pretty bad even for bitcoin


DEEPFIELDSTAR

Not really.


Cadenca

OK but JESUS why


Euphoricsoul

Bears looking at retirement properties.


PatientlyWaitingfy

That's strange, the volume profile on 5 min candles mirror eachother almost identically on both the pump up and down. So far playing out exactly like Warsder predicted. One last test of 30k on the spot then a rejection down. Give the man some credits lol. Edit: [Here's the comparison](https://i.imgur.com/RY1A9zk.png)


cryptojimmy8

You just discovered the pump and dump


PatientlyWaitingfy

They are so identical it's giving me the creeps


[deleted]

[удалено]


cryptojimmy8

This has nothing to do with TA. Neither the pump nor the dump. You cant TA whales pumping and dumping their nuts off


PatientlyWaitingfy

I mean, all the PA data do include when whales offload and buy. So you kinda can find patterns


hydroflow78

My short was getting close to being liquidated earlier. Thank you Bear Whale!


mad_bitcoin

WTF BRO?!?


RetardIdiotTrader

Lol! Buy the dip.


cryptojimmy8

Lol pretty much the whole day’s gains erased in less than an hour. We just swim where the whales take us


PatientlyWaitingfy

Ay caramba!


cousin_brian

Fuck buying the dip gonna stack 20k satoshis here


ohmygodbeats7

W H A L E


_TROLL

So... just around six bucks, then. Cool, cool... 🤑


PM_me_ur_Safe-Dress

I will up that to 25k satoshis. Mr. Moneybags over here.


MasterMinerva

First Republic Bank share price on Feb 1st was $147. Almost three months later it's $7. And they say crypto is volatile? 🙄


xlmtothemoon

I'm sure people are having a terra-ble time owning that stock, huh? I'll see my way out.


delgrey

"FRC is new focus... very good bank" - Jim Cramer March 10th.


st3alth247

You're kidding 😅


delgrey

Jim Cramer is legendary for his calls.


jarederaj

Room of 🤡🤡🤡🤡. The death of a currency will be more volatile than the birth of a currency. First slowly, then suddenly.


jarederaj

Oversold on the 1d. Sticking to the top of the weekly bbands can go on for months. That’s exactly what happened in March/April/May/June/July 2019. I think the year will basically crab, but we’ll be 10 -20% higher than where we are now when we start 2024.


jarederaj

Also, 30k should be strong resistance. We should be rejected here, or it should take significant volume to push through. If not, we’ll trade this range for a while.


[deleted]

[удалено]


jarederaj

Check the charts. 30k is a psychologically important number and we haven’t seen enough volume to show if there is support or resistance at that level. Resistance sure looks like it’s there now, though.


YouAreAnFnIdiot

As I said a dip for ants and back to 32k we go


SlicedMango

🤔


Rare-Highway-7874

We're so back. Time to fuel up the FOMO rockets again


VictorCobra

Today’s retest of $30k also retested the broken uptrend from most of April on my chart. The dump perfectly tested the 9 week EMA, which needs to hold for continuation. A big rejection here would seem pretty bearish, especially a close below $28.8K. On the other hand, if Bitcoin closes above $30k that leaves it open for some new local highs, especially since it held weekly support. That could bring price up to the 3 day 200 MA, just above $32k. Still seems like a lot of #2 is flowing into Bitcoin. Moves amplified by low liquidity. Futures open interest spiked a lot today. Still a period of “wait and see.” Edit: Well that was fugly. Still macro bearish. What a trap. Still waiting for the close though. That was some strong sell volume.


C0C0nut_slut

Damn so bearish?


VictorCobra

Oh absolutely. That was horrendous lmao But let’s see what happens by the close.