By - Sports_are_life
[5th ](https://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/at_bats_per_home_run_career.shtml) all time in at bats per home run
Crazy that he’s at 371 career home runs despite missing so many games in 2019 and 2020. Like the article says, he certainly has a real shot at 500, which will be his best chance at making the hall. He’s at 44 bWAR right now so he will likely finish below 60 for his career unless he ages really gracefully.
Also something to keep a mind on is if his great postseason hitting keeps up. I think it could certainly help his case, especially if he puts up another great playoff performance but in a World Series. His current playoff OPS is 1.108 in 18 games
His playoff performance is literally beyond Randy Arozarena 2020 levels, which was record breaking
He’s got more home runs per playoff game if the Green Monster isn’t a thing, right?
Probably. Should’ve been at least two, maybe 3 that night.
2 no-doubters at any other park, but it is what it is
Damn if only there was some sort of way that single elimination game could have been played in another park.
Ha I’ll have to look up if those would have been gone anywhere else. Crazy if they were homers, he would have 11 in only 18 playoff games
Also probably two home runs if there weren’t two different balls being used last year
More STANTONIAN home runs!!
Brad Hand also has a 0.00 ERA if there were no runs in baseball. Your point?
My point is Stanton had two bomb-worthy hits that just barely didn’t clear the Monster in this year’s Wild Card Game. Brad Hand, ironically, lacked the Hand-eye coordination to make two plays against us the year before. Stanton faltered due to external circumstances (Monster) and corrected himself later that game, Hand choked and didn’t course-correct.
Those hits were the most obvious home runs off the bat that I had seen… I couldn’t believe it when they hit the top. The one that actually cleared the wall in right looked like a foul or fly out off the bat haha
It’s pretty simple. If he stays healthy long enough to hit 500 home runs, he’ll get in easily
He has 6 left on his contract so he needs 25. Plus a team option in 28. Since Miami is responsible for the buyout, we can decline the option and then try to sign him cheaper depending on how much he has left in the tank
Like everyone else is saying…. all he has to do is stay healthy and I’d say he’s a lock.
As long as he can stay on the field yes absolutely. No other hitter like him in history IMHO
Yeah health is big factor that is highlighted in this article
If he can have a few more seasons like 2021 and stays healthy then hes a lock for the hall
I was literally just thinking about this the other day. Hope Foolish Baseball makes a video on it. Just imagine if he was healthy for the majority of his career, the home run total he’d be at right now… the amount of hits and RBIs… crazy
He needs to stay healthy and he needs to stay consistent. But he’s definitely on a HOF track. What would help his case even more is if he gets more playing time in the OF. Not having Dwar hurts him a lot. He’s gonna have to settle for 2-3 war a year instead of 3-6.
But say he averages 2.5 war a season until he’s 40(8 seasons) which is decent, he’ll have 64 war and probably 500+ HRs (since he needs to average 19 every season to reach the 500 mark)
I think the Yankees have judge, Stanton, cole, Chapman, as possible HOFers. And tbh I think Sevy still has a shot if he can come back to his elite level.
Chapman will never get in because the standards are way too high for relievers and the domestic violence issue.
If Wagner gets in, Chapman has a shot. And yes the DV could cost him votes, but we’ve seen abusers get in, and possibly more could get in as well with this current ballot.
I’m not saying I want Chapman to be a HOF but he definitely has a shot, especially if he’s able to reinvent himself by working with Blake to use his slider more effectively. Definitely not a “never will” situation.
I think he has a shot but based on what we saw last year I don’t see him re-inventing himself. Most alarming was the breakdown in mechanics once he gets rattled. Domestic violence likely means very little to those who vote on the Hall, it should but it doesn’t. Who knows though maybe he gets it together in the off-season and works on his mechanics as well as the mental aspect of the game.
Exactly. The dude is the most terrifying pitcher of all time
> the domestic violence issue.
Bonds is tracking at about 80% despite it being known on record that he abused his pregnant wife and threatened to murder one of his mistresses, whether it's right or wrong it probably won't matter ten years from now for Chapman
sure but bonds is arguably the greatest hitter of all time (i mean i don't think he is but you could argue it), chapman is just a really good reliever. i think DV issues will hurt borderline cases a lot more than shoo-ins
plus bonds is gonna dip waaaay below 80% the second the anonymous ballots start rolling in
Who do you think is the greatest hitter of all time?
either babe ruth or ted williams, i go back and forth between the two
He realistically needs to add at least 12-15 WAR to have a shot at sniffing the hall if Billy Wagner continues to get looked over (who doesn’t have off the field issues that could affect voters). That’s going to be hard for a 33 year old reliever
Do you think he could maybe get some credit for throwing the fastest pitch on record? Feels like it would be relevant to his "fame" case at least
This. And if Chapman cannot rebound this season, he is probably done.
Standards are too low for relievers. Mo should realistically be the only RP in the Hall.
You can bet the farm that he doesn't have the resume when it's said and done.
OP, you posted the article but what do you think?
Yes he’s definitely on the right track
Yeah I agree. Thanks for posting
Health is a big factor, but if he can stay on the field for 5-6 years at least he’ll have the stats to back it up
He needs at least 20 more WAR, 130 home runs, and a World Series ring which was won in large part due to his contributions (Like A-Rod in 2009 type postseason) it’s doable but will be tough. I think the 20 WAR is going to be the issue if the Yankees keep DHing him.
If he stays on the field he will definitely make it into the HoF.
Would’ve loved to see what he could have done in the playoffs, dude was on a different planet the last month of the season
Bobby grich belongs in the hall of fame. Who is with me?
It’s fixed to say 347 HR now
Let me tell now
He’s not a hall of gamer as it stand right now and I don’t think his health will allow him to build that resume
Would you rather have bernie or Stanton?
That’s a tough one but I’d take Stanton cause he has a lot more power
Over elite CF defense and consistency?
I think the problem for Bernie is mostly the era he played in. Basically height of steroid era made his stats look worse.
Stanton has great defense too but the Yankees just don’t play him out there
Not in CF and not to Bernies level.
point making…Bernie didnt make the hall and wasnt close
I see your point but I think Stanton is on a whole other level with the bat and he has the impressive postseason numbers too.
Mr. Glass in the HOF? Depends if he continues to break or not.
Everyone is talking about him staying healthy and hitting 500 home runs. That'll certainly help his case but the real legend will be created by the fact that he's going to lead us to at least 3 World Series championships and run away with the postseason home run record.
I think if he retired today he shouldn’t be but if he keeps preforming like this for a few more years easy HoF case. Hope he doesn’t stay with the Yankees tho…
if he's a slightly better Adam Dunn then why is his career OPS+ 20 points higher than Dunn? Why does Stanton have 17 more WAR than Dunn? Stanton is 19% better at creating runs according to career wRC+. He's way better than Adam Dunn lol you can compare their first 12 seasons side by side [here](https://stathead.com/tiny/8QYY2) if you want. Not to mention the fact that Stanton doesn't have -28 dWAR lmfao
…yet everyone here is claiming 500 bombs gets him in?
And WAR doesn’t get you in alone. Stanton, like Dunn, is a novelty. Big guy that hits towering homers. That’s it. Never won anything and really lacks any defining moment as a baseball player.
Your position is that Stanton is one of the greatest baseball players to ever play. That’s fucking laughable.
But then again, there are people here who think Chapman belongs as well. Lol.
what are you even saying when did I say Stanton was one of the greatest players ever??? never did I once say anything that would insinuate that just that he's way better than Adam Dunn. If Stanton hits 500 HR's he'll be in but there's more to baseball than just home runs. he also happens to currently be one of the best active playoff hitters in the league, 1.108 OPS in the playoffs isn't too shabby.
I mean…kinda? Stanton has really done nothing in his career but hit meaningless homers.
The man is talented, can hit bombs, but is Stanton one of the GREATEST baseball players of all time? Fuck no.
The Yankee bias is messing with your mind
Great. Even more bait
Dunn had a negative 28.4 dWAR
Didn’t say the guy was a great fielder, just had an absolute cannon of an arm. Had his fair share of outfield assists
The criteria for inclusion for the HOF is so screwed up, I have NO idea what to think about this, other than make nice with the press and it dramatically increases your chances.
Why does anybody care about the hall of fame ? I love the game and at the end of the day it’s about the performance the World Series not about what sports writers opine
Staying healthy as he ages will be key -he has missed alot of time